Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2290 at 07:15, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2290 Delta Flight history →	MEM 07:15	SLC 09:33	5%	3%	0.5%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Memphis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MEM 06:00 → ATL 08:28DL 1666	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 10m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	MEM 07:12 → ATL 09:40DL 1624	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	7h 38m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MEM 12:09 → MSP 14:22DL 3989 · flown by SkyWest	3h 51m Minneapolis	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	8h 58m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:04 → DTW 09:00DL 2370	3h 20m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	9h 07m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MEM 11:46 → ATL 14:15DL 82	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	9h 16m	100%	88%
United Details →	MEM 07:25 → ORD 09:30UA 247	3h 15m Chicago	ORD 12:45 → SLC 15:22UA 1955	8h 57m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:45 → AUS 08:37DL 4088 · flown by SkyWest	3h 43m Austin	AUS 12:20 → SLC 14:09DL 2671	8h 24m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MEM 09:27 → ATL 11:46DL 1149	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	7h 24m	99%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON