tailodds FORECAST
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Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, AA 3754 at 19:50, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 3754 American flown by Envoy Flight history → MIA 19:50 GSO 22:04 24% 7% 1.3% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 10:15 → GSO 11:34DL 3052 5h 34m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 14:15 → GSO 15:30DL 2539 7h 10m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → MIA 05:25 → DFW 07:40AA 1226 1h 52m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:32 → GSO 13:16AA 3886 · flown by Envoy 7h 51m 97% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 12:49 → GSO 14:04DL 3060 6h 54m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 16:30 → GSO 17:50DL 3050 7h 10m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:59 → LGA 09:54DL 2387 2h 30m New York LGA 12:24 → GSO 14:02DL 5132 · flown by Endeavor 7h 03m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → MIA 06:40 → ORD 09:08AA 581 55m Chicago ORD 10:03 → GSO 12:58AA 4144 · flown by Envoy 6h 18m 91% 83%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:07 → EWR 10:11UA 1864 2h 07m Newark EWR 12:18 → GSO 14:15UA 4509 · flown by GoJet 7h 08m 98% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MIA 11:00 → DFW 13:15AA 3055 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:04 → GSO 17:54AA 2242 6h 54m 63% 48%
AmericanDetails → MIA 15:24 → DFW 17:36AA 1824 1h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:39 → GSO 22:27AA 1316 7h 03m 67% 46%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON