Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 08:20, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Savannah on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 70% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067	6h 18m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249	1h 22m Atlanta	ATL 09:23 → SAV 10:27DL 3054	4h 27m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	5h 34m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	MIA 14:09 → ATL 16:13DL 1332	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	7h 08m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	MIA 12:02 → ATL 14:05DL 1510	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112	6h 00m	98%	86%
American Details →	MIA 06:45 → PHL 09:38AA 2129	1h 26m Philadelphia	PHL 11:04 → SAV 13:07AA 2793	6h 22m	95%	82%
American Details →	MIA 13:30 → CLT 15:48AA 2297	3h 27m Charlotte	CLT 19:15 → SAV 20:32AA 5382 · flown by PSA	7h 02m	99%	80%
American Details →	MIA 07:00 → DFW 09:19AA 2575	1h 30m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:49 → SAV 14:25AA 2048	7h 25m	97%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	MIA 16:01 → CLT 18:22AA 985	53m Charlotte	CLT 19:15 → SAV 20:32AA 5382 · flown by PSA	4h 31m	73%	59%
Delta Details →	MIA 15:29 → LGA 18:45DL 1538	1h 00m New York	LGA 19:45 → SAV 22:16DL 5398 · flown by Endeavor	6h 50m	70%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON