Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5404 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MKE 07:00	JFK 10:22	16%	10%	7.3%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MKE 05:40 → ATL 08:41DL 1221	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 09:44 → JFK 12:00DL 1034	5h 20m	96%	85%
American Details →	MKE 05:03 → ORD 06:02AA 6261 · flown by SkyWest	1h 43m Chicago	ORD 07:45 → JFK 11:02AA 4590 · flown by Republic	4h 59m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:58 → ATL 16:07DL 1151	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 18:45 → JFK 21:29DL 2398	7h 31m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → JFK 16:29DL 1575	8h 39m	99%	82%
American Details →	MKE 07:01 → CLT 10:07AA 2866	1h 21m Charlotte	CLT 11:28 → JFK 13:28AA 374	5h 27m	93%	79%
Delta Details →	MKE 14:59 → ATL 18:06DL 1246	1h 27m Atlanta	ATL 19:33 → JFK 21:53DL 2378	5h 54m	95%	77%
American Details →	MKE 07:34 → ORD 08:33AA 6479 · flown by SkyWest	3h 03m Chicago	ORD 11:36 → JFK 14:48AA 3225	6h 14m	99%	71%
Delta Details →	MKE 13:22 → DTW 15:38DL 5476 · flown by Endeavor	2h 21m Detroit	DTW 17:59 → JFK 19:39DL 1316	5h 17m	90%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON