Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2716 at 07:00, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2716 Delta Flight history →	MKE 07:00	SLC 09:25	6%	2%	0.4%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MKE 05:40 → ATL 08:41DL 1221	1h 29m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 30m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 00m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:58 → ATL 16:07DL 1151	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	8h 04m	99%	86%
United Details →	MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest	2h 56m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	7h 39m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	MKE 10:11 → ATL 13:14DL 2999	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	8h 07m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	MKE 07:11 → DTW 09:30DL 3757 · flown by SkyWest	2h 50m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	8h 00m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:07 → MSP 13:26DL 561	59m Minneapolis	MSP 14:25 → SLC 16:16DL 2658	5h 09m	90%	81%
Delta Details →	MKE 14:59 → ATL 18:06DL 1246	1h 28m Atlanta	ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660	7h 38m	95%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON