Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2982 at 11:39, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2982 Delta Flight history →	MSP 11:39	BOI 13:44	11%	3%	0.4%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 37m Atlanta	ATL 10:31 → BOI 12:53DL 874	8h 33m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:06 → LAX 09:00DL 2110	2h 44m Los Angeles	LAX 11:44 → BOI 14:46DL 3773 · flown by SkyWest	8h 40m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	1h 01m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:00 → BOI 12:16DL 2095	5h 06m	95%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 11:10 → SEA 13:00DL 889	3h 10m Seattle	SEA 16:10 → BOI 18:46DL 3688 · flown by SkyWest	8h 36m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:05 → SEA 10:59DL 868	3h 51m Seattle	SEA 14:50 → BOI 17:24DL 4127 · flown by SkyWest	9h 19m	99%	85%
Alaska Details →	MSP 14:56 → SEA 16:50AS 555	3h 09m Seattle	SEA 19:59 → BOI 22:24AS 2034 · flown by Horizon	8h 28m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → BOI 21:57DL 704	10h 12m	99%	84%
United Details →	MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891	1h 15m Denver	DEN 11:36 → BOI 13:35UA 2255	5h 30m	96%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON