Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 12:42, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:42	CHS 16:26	11%	2%	0.7%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	5h 40m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	6h 27m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	5h 42m	99%	87%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:54UA 2041	2h 56m Denver	DEN 09:50 → CHS 15:14UA 1003	8h 29m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461	1h 18m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → CHS 12:20DL 5431 · flown by Endeavor	5h 16m	99%	86%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 16m Chicago	ORD 11:00 → CHS 14:26UA 2631	7h 26m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:27 → CHS 20:42DL 2493	6h 57m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	1h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:59 → CHS 17:16DL 2174	5h 44m	98%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON