tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1083 Delta MSP 07:11 CLE 10:09 6% 2% 0.5% no record
DL 1118 Delta MSP 15:38 CLE 18:35 13% 5% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:54UA 2041 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 7h 51m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 11:50 → CLE 13:32DL 775 7h 12m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307 2h 45m Chicago ORD 10:29 → CLE 12:58UA 2389 5h 58m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 13:36 → CLE 15:20DL 2545 7h 20m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046 2h 47m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:42DL 1350 7h 10m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 18:53 → CLE 20:45DL 2150 7h 00m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894 1h 06m Charlotte CLT 11:06 → CLE 12:49AA 848 5h 30m 94% 79%
DeltaDetails → MSP 14:25 → SLC 16:16DL 2658 1h 09m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → CLE 22:58DL 2855 7h 33m 94% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → MSP 15:16 → ORD 16:58UA 1531 47m Chicago ORD 17:45 → CLE 20:13UA 2652 3h 57m 64% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON