Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 5527 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MSP 19:45	TYS 23:01	28%	13%	1.1%	72%
DL 5335 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MSP 13:28	TYS 16:45	29%	15%	0.8%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Knoxville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 16m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → TYS 11:10DL 1743	4h 50m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 13:52 → TYS 14:48DL 1148	6h 48m	99%	88%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	1h 11m Charlotte	CLT 11:11 → TYS 12:34AA 5953 · flown by Piedmont	5h 15m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → TYS 18:44DL 3042	7h 12m	100%	85%
United Details →	MSP 13:36 → DEN 14:48UA 1305	2h 37m Denver	DEN 17:25 → TYS 22:19UA 2473	7h 43m	99%	82%
American Details →	MSP 05:54 → DFW 08:30AA 1395	1h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:33 → TYS 12:51AA 2544	5h 57m	96%	82%
American Details →	MSP 10:28 → DFW 13:04AA 2220	3h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:16 → TYS 19:29AA 5309 · flown by PSA	8h 01m	99%	77%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	2h 44m Atlanta	ATL 19:06 → TYS 20:08DL 5203 · flown by Endeavor	6h 26m	98%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON