tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 878 Southwest MYR 10:26 BNA 11:11 5% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 1101 Southwest MYR 15:56 BNA 16:42 11% 4% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155 5h 09m 98% 91%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 2h 37m Charlotte CLT 10:35 → BNA 11:07AA 1295 5h 16m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 4h 44m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 30m Detroit DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316 6h 06m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 18:31 → BNA 18:52DL 1490 6h 01m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:42 → CLT 18:51AA 2943 1h 50m Charlotte CLT 20:41 → BNA 21:14AA 526 4h 32m 93% 75%
AmericanDetails → MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 2h 38m Philadelphia PHL 15:46 → BNA 16:58AA 1280 6h 39m 96% 72%
AmericanDetails → MYR 12:09 → CLT 13:18AA 2431 3h 37m Charlotte CLT 16:55 → BNA 17:27AA 519 6h 18m 84% 65%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MYR 18:45 → PHL 20:34AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont 56m Philadelphia PHL 21:30 → BNA 22:46AA 2277 5h 01m 74% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON