tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Boston on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 1h 11m Atlanta ATL 08:30 → BOS 11:06DL 2432 5h 06m 96% 87%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 2h 23m Charlotte CLT 10:21 → BOS 12:46AA 2263 5h 55m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 18:15 → BOS 21:00DL 821 7h 09m 97% 76%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 16:45 → BOS 19:30DL 518 7h 48m 100% 75%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:42 → CLT 18:51AA 2943 1h 15m Charlotte CLT 20:06 → BOS 22:31AA 1843 4h 49m 83% 66%
AmericanDetails → MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 2h 13m Philadelphia PHL 15:21 → BOS 16:47AA 3073 5h 28m 96% 63%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:27 → PHL 15:14AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont 2h 17m Philadelphia PHL 17:31 → BOS 18:58AA 1147 5h 31m 95% 62%
AmericanDetails → MYR 12:09 → CLT 13:18AA 2431 1h 05m Charlotte CLT 14:23 → BOS 16:46AA 901 4h 37m 84% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON