tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Cleveland on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → CLE 11:32DL 2978 5h 32m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 3h 08m Charlotte CLT 11:06 → CLE 12:49AA 848 5h 58m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:42DL 1350 7h 00m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 18:53 → CLE 20:45DL 2150 6h 54m 97% 78%
AmericanDetails → MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 2h 05m Philadelphia PHL 15:13 → CLE 16:44AA 5581 · flown by PSA 5h 25m 96% 75%
AmericanDetails → MYR 12:09 → CLT 13:18AA 2431 50m Charlotte CLT 14:08 → CLE 15:49AA 1244 3h 40m 84% 67%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:42 → CLT 18:51AA 2943 1h 53m Charlotte CLT 20:44 → CLE 22:21AA 3146 4h 39m 93% 66%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:27 → PHL 15:14AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont 2h 01m Philadelphia PHL 17:15 → CLE 19:06AA 5862 · flown by Piedmont 5h 39m 89% 65%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON