Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, OH 5653 at 16:59, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


OH 5653 PSA	MYR 16:59	DFW 18:50	20%	5%	1.1%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961	6h 12m	98%	89%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	3h 28m Charlotte	CLT 11:26 → DFW 13:16AA 2747	7h 25m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	1h 26m Atlanta	ATL 14:30 → DFW 15:45DL 921	5h 03m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → DFW 19:05DL 1827	6h 14m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145	2h 28m Detroit	DTW 15:59 → DFW 17:44DL 1441	7h 10m	99%	77%
American Details →	MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont	3h 14m Philadelphia	PHL 16:22 → DFW 19:09AA 2356	8h 50m	99%	76%
American Details →	MYR 12:09 → CLT 13:18AA 2431	1h 46m Charlotte	CLT 15:04 → DFW 16:58AA 1709	5h 49m	84%	69%
American Details →	MYR 13:27 → PHL 15:14AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont	2h 32m Philadelphia	PHL 17:46 → DFW 20:11AA 2533	7h 44m	96%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON