Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2273 American Flight history →	OKC 06:40	CLT 10:20	7%	3%	0.7%	90%
AA 1626 American Flight history →	OKC 13:58	CLT 17:41	15%	5%	0.8%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190	4h 37m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	OKC 07:00 → ATL 10:10DL 1158	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	5h 31m	99%	88%
American Details →	OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656	2h 32m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:39 → CLT 12:26AA 2168	6h 25m	99%	85%
United Details →	OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest	2h 53m Denver	DEN 09:51 → CLT 15:18UA 2231	8h 13m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 17:00 → CLT 18:19DL 3158	6h 10m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → CLT 20:11DL 2132	5h 53m	99%	81%
American Details →	OKC 07:28 → ORD 09:42AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest	2h 05m Chicago	ORD 11:47 → CLT 14:46AA 3021	6h 18m	98%	80%
American Details →	OKC 07:46 → DFW 09:03AA 2272	2h 52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696	6h 50m	97%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON