Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6384 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 07:15	LAX 08:26	14%	5%	0.8%	91%
AA 6378 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 13:37	LAX 14:48	15%	7%	0.7%	95%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest	3h 12m Minneapolis	MSP 13:10 → LAX 14:52DL 2974	9h 07m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 12:40 → LAX 14:12DL 895	10h 23m	99%	89%
United Details →	OKC 09:39 → IAH 11:15UA 6255 · flown by Mesa	3h 34m Houston	IAH 14:49 → LAX 16:29UA 1945	8h 50m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	OKC 08:26 → SLC 10:07DL 4029 · flown by SkyWest	1h 23m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829	6h 01m	97%	86%
United Details →	OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest	3h 04m Denver	DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405	7h 29m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 18:48 → LAX 20:16DL 996	8h 58m	99%	85%
United Details →	OKC 08:55 → DEN 09:41UA 2609	3h 45m Denver	DEN 13:26 → LAX 14:57UA 774	8h 02m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490	1h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:40 → LAX 17:26DL 301	8h 17m	97%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON