tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1528 Southwest OKC 10:11 MCO 13:58 9% 3% 0.5% no record
WN 3262 Southwest OKC 16:31 MCO 20:18 17% 8% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 1h 12m Denver DEN 08:10 → MCO 13:57UA 2292 6h 52m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030 6h 11m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:00 → ATL 10:10DL 1158 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 12:59 → MCO 14:34DL 1372 6h 34m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest 2h 47m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MCO 17:04DL 2225 8h 19m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → OKC 11:56 → IAH 13:34UA 5663 · flown by SkyWest 3h 35m Houston IAH 17:09 → MCO 20:48UA 1571 7h 52m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 2h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:30 → MCO 12:22AA 2136 6h 21m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → OKC 09:39 → IAH 11:15UA 6255 · flown by Mesa 3h 21m Houston IAH 14:36 → MCO 18:14UA 496 7h 35m 100% 81%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:40 → CLT 10:20AA 2273 2h 16m Charlotte CLT 12:36 → MCO 14:26AA 2117 6h 46m 97% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → OKC 14:33 → IAH 16:10UA 4838 · flown by CommuteAir 59m Houston IAH 17:09 → MCO 20:48UA 1571 5h 15m 74% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON