Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4029 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 08:26	SLC 10:07	4%	3%	0.6%	93%
DL 3882 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 18:00	SLC 19:38	8%	5%	0.6%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest	2h 31m Minneapolis	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	7h 34m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 21m	98%	89%
United Details →	OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest	1h 02m Denver	DEN 08:00 → SLC 09:37UA 497	4h 32m	96%	89%
Delta Details →	OKC 07:00 → ATL 10:10DL 1158	1h 46m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	7h 50m	98%	88%
United Details →	OKC 08:55 → DEN 09:41UA 2609	1h 59m Denver	DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963	5h 18m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	7h 44m	97%	83%
American Details →	OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656	2h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:01 → SLC 11:04AA 1878	7h 03m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	7h 09m	95%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	OKC 11:56 → IAH 13:34UA 5663 · flown by SkyWest	51m Houston	IAH 14:25 → SLC 16:40UA 6207 · flown by Mesa	5h 44m	59%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON