Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1042 American Flight history →	OMA 06:20	CLT 09:58	6%	2%	0.7%	91%
AA 1079 American	OMA 15:10	CLT 18:47	15%	4%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136	1h 28m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190	5h 01m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest	3h 09m Minneapolis	MSP 10:30 → CLT 13:57DL 2819	6h 57m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	OMA 07:01 → ATL 10:12DL 1157	2h 08m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	5h 30m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	OMA 13:40 → ATL 17:03DL 1125	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 20:40 → CLT 21:57DL 3139	7h 17m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	OMA 10:52 → MSP 12:15DL 3831 · flown by SkyWest	3h 00m Minneapolis	MSP 15:15 → CLT 18:49DL 2821	6h 57m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest	1h 09m Detroit	DTW 10:37 → CLT 12:24DL 2684	4h 59m	94%	85%
United Details →	OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442	3h 02m Denver	DEN 09:51 → CLT 15:18UA 2231	8h 18m	99%	84%
American Details →	OMA 05:20 → DFW 07:20AA 2540	1h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:39 → CLT 12:26AA 2168	6h 06m	97%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON