Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 6227 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OMA 06:00	LAX 07:41	6%	3%	0.6%	92%
AA 6506 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OMA 15:16	LAX 16:41	10%	4%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 12:40 → LAX 14:12DL 895	10h 47m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest	3h 40m Minneapolis	MSP 13:10 → LAX 14:52DL 2974	8h 47m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	OMA 08:10 → SLC 09:52DL 3874 · flown by SkyWest	1h 38m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829	6h 17m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest	1h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 09:20 → LAX 11:10DL 2102	7h 10m	98%	87%
United Details →	OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442	3h 13m Denver	DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405	7h 34m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest	3h 22m Detroit	DTW 12:50 → LAX 14:35DL 634	10h 10m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	OMA 10:23 → ATL 13:38DL 2632	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 15:40 → LAX 17:26DL 301	9h 03m	98%	86%
United Details →	OMA 06:15 → IAH 08:37UA 2399	3h 56m Houston	IAH 12:33 → LAX 14:06UA 2460	9h 51m	99%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON