Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


OO 4672 SkyWest	ORD 09:48	GEG 12:02	16%	5%	0.8%	no record
AA 677 American Flight history →	ORD 11:17	GEG 13:29	18%	5%	0.7%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ORD 05:30 → ATL 08:29DL 1264	1h 21m Atlanta	ATL 09:50 → GEG 11:29DL 814	7h 59m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	ORD 07:29 → LAX 10:00DL 1556	3h 00m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 06m	100%	87%
United Details →	ORD 06:00 → DEN 07:42UA 2806	3h 33m Denver	DEN 11:15 → GEG 12:37UA 295	8h 37m	100%	86%
Alaska Details →	ORD 05:58 → SEA 08:22AS 587	1h 33m Seattle	SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon	7h 02m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	ORD 13:44 → ATL 16:54DL 2894	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 19:45 → GEG 21:32DL 1843	9h 48m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	ORD 13:00 → SEA 15:44DL 1564	2h 15m Seattle	SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest	8h 15m	96%	82%
Alaska Details →	ORD 08:05 → SEA 10:24AS 583	3h 58m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	9h 20m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	ORD 07:45 → SLC 10:15DL 2231	1h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 27m	92%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	ORD 17:42 → SEA 20:21AS 337	1h 09m Seattle	SEA 21:30 → GEG 22:36AS 2071 · flown by Horizon	6h 54m	75%	52%
American Details →	ORD 15:06 → DFW 17:36AA 2429	1h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:37 → GEG 20:29AA 2757	7h 23m	70%	47%
Alaska Details →	ORD 08:05 → SEA 10:24AS 583	1h 09m Seattle	SEA 11:33 → GEG 12:38AS 454	6h 33m	71%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON