tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 6012 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record PHL 22:10 GSO 23:58 12% 1% 6.9% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PHL 05:15 → ATL 07:19DL 1269 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 10:15 → GSO 11:34DL 3052 6h 19m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → PHL 06:00 → CLT 07:53AA 3139 3h 19m Charlotte CLT 11:12 → GSO 12:17AA 5796 · flown by Piedmont 6h 17m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → PHL 08:05 → ATL 10:11DL 1180 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 12:49 → GSO 14:04DL 3060 5h 59m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → PHL 14:32 → ATL 16:40DL 2279 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 18:34 → GSO 19:54DL 3017 5h 22m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → PHL 12:02 → ATL 14:05DL 2270 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 16:30 → GSO 17:50DL 3050 5h 48m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → PHL 06:10 → DTW 07:48DL 1540 1h 06m Detroit DTW 08:54 → GSO 10:41DL 4966 · flown by Endeavor 4h 31m 95% 78%
AmericanDetails → PHL 10:39 → CLT 12:21AA 847 2h 20m Charlotte CLT 14:41 → GSO 15:46AA 5797 · flown by Piedmont 5h 07m 95% 78%
AmericanDetails → PHL 15:52 → CLT 17:35AA 3012 2h 36m Charlotte CLT 20:11 → GSO 21:01AA 4147 · flown by Envoy 5h 09m 97% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → PHL 11:38 → ORD 13:06UA 2207 49m Chicago ORD 13:55 → GSO 16:57UA 4619 · flown by GoJet 5h 19m 66% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON