Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 17–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1884 American Flight history →	PHX 10:38	PSP 11:58	17%	5%	0.8%	78%
OO 6406 SkyWest	PHX 15:10	PSP 16:27	22%	6%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PHX 06:00 → SLC 08:37DL 1535	2h 08m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	5h 41m	99%	94%
Delta Details →	PHX 09:45 → SLC 12:21DL 1447	3h 19m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 48m	100%	93%
United Details →	PHX 06:00 → DEN 08:52UA 337	2h 21m Denver	DEN 11:13 → PSP 12:31UA 687	6h 31m	99%	82%
American Details →	PHX 05:10 → DFW 09:45AA 1655	56m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:41 → PSP 11:50AA 2548	6h 40m	94%	78%
United Details →	PHX 07:00 → SFO 09:12UA 2449	3h 28m San Francisco	SFO 12:40 → PSP 14:20UA 342	7h 20m	99%	78%
Alaska Details →	PHX 05:59 → SEA 08:59AS 605	1h 06m Seattle	SEA 10:05 → PSP 12:40AS 1494	6h 41m	92%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON