tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3526 Southwest PIT 06:01 FLL 08:40 5% 1% 0.8% no record
B6 2005 JetBlue Flight history → PIT 06:00 FLL 08:42 13% 4% 1.1% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 38m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → PIT 06:01 → CLT 07:36AA 376 3h 14m Charlotte CLT 10:50 → FLL 12:57AA 2585 6h 56m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 55m Dulles IAD 08:13 → FLL 11:09UA 1825 5h 03m 95% 85%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 6h 15m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 2h 08m Houston IAH 10:26 → FLL 14:20UA 2670 8h 05m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:58 → ORD 07:39UA 1803 3h 20m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 8h 15m 97% 79%
UnitedDetails → PIT 08:36 → ORD 09:30UA 3461 · flown by Republic 2h 59m Chicago ORD 12:29 → FLL 16:39UA 1294 8h 03m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:50 → ATL 13:35DL 1363 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 6h 50m 99% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → PIT 17:04 → JFK 18:56DL 5085 · flown by Endeavor 1h 02m New York JFK 19:58 → FLL 23:28DL 1414 6h 24m 53% 36%
UnitedDetails → PIT 16:11 → ORD 16:58UA 3577 · flown by Republic 47m Chicago ORD 17:45 → FLL 21:51UA 463 5h 40m 50% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON