tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1859 United Flight history → PIT 06:15 IAH 08:18 7% 2% 0.6% 94%
UA 1563 United Flight history → PIT 17:12 IAH 19:31 16% 5% 0.6% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 6h 29m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 1h 22m Dulles IAD 08:40 → IAH 10:59UA 1524 5h 53m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 7h 28m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:30 → EWR 09:06UA 3513 · flown by Republic 3h 30m Newark EWR 12:36 → IAH 15:34UA 2204 9h 04m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → PIT 08:36 → ORD 09:30UA 3461 · flown by Republic 3h 10m Chicago ORD 12:40 → IAH 15:40UA 1448 8h 04m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → PIT 07:01 → DFW 09:09AA 762 1h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:28 → IAH 11:48AA 3829 · flown by Envoy 5h 47m 94% 83%
UnitedDetails → PIT 08:30 → DEN 09:59UA 1765 1h 35m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 7h 39m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:23 → MSP 12:35DL 845 2h 10m Minneapolis MSP 14:45 → IAH 17:39DL 2644 7h 16m 96% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → PIT 16:20 → MSP 17:40DL 5249 · flown by Endeavor 1h 00m Minneapolis MSP 18:40 → IAH 21:35DL 2683 6h 15m 65% 55%
UnitedDetails → PIT 15:13 → EWR 17:00UA 4457 · flown by GoJet 54m Newark EWR 17:54 → IAH 20:55UA 2782 6h 42m 74% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON