tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 3548 at 15:31, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3548 Southwest PIT 15:31 RSW 18:14 16% 8% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 57m Dulles IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406 4h 47m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 26m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 1h 12m Houston IAH 09:30 → RSW 13:14UA 494 6h 59m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:50 → ATL 13:35DL 1363 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 4h 54m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:58 → ORD 07:39UA 1803 3h 12m Chicago ORD 10:51 → RSW 14:48UA 2137 7h 50m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → PIT 13:57 → ATL 15:45DL 1345 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 19:28 → RSW 21:13DL 1736 7h 16m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → PIT 08:08 → CLT 09:48AA 384 2h 18m Charlotte CLT 12:06 → RSW 14:14AA 2018 6h 06m 96% 79%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:30 → EWR 09:06UA 3513 · flown by Republic 2h 53m Newark EWR 11:59 → RSW 15:04UA 1810 7h 34m 100% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON