Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5156 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	PNS 12:11	LGA 15:58	30%	14%	3.7%	70%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	5h 42m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	PNS 07:00 → ATL 09:17DL 3129	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525	6h 50m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	PNS 08:01 → ATL 10:15DL 3067	1h 15m Atlanta	ATL 11:30 → LGA 13:42DL 467	4h 41m	97%	77%
Delta Details →	PNS 13:54 → ATL 16:13DL 1640	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 20:00 → LGA 22:27DL 490	7h 33m	99%	77%
Delta Details →	PNS 09:22 → ATL 11:35DL 3103	1h 55m Atlanta	ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460	5h 28m	98%	74%
American Details →	PNS 05:22 → CLT 08:18AA 5548 · flown by PSA	1h 02m Charlotte	CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150	4h 53m	94%	74%
Delta Details →	PNS 11:57 → ATL 14:14DL 3198	3h 46m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434	7h 30m	100%	72%
American Details →	PNS 06:00 → MIA 08:49AA 3386 · flown by Envoy	1h 09m Miami	MIA 09:58 → LGA 13:09AA 2424	6h 09m	93%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON