Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 480 United Flight history →	PSC 05:12	DEN 08:48	4%	3%	0.6%	86%
UA 4721 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	PSC 12:08	DEN 15:42	7%	4%	0.5%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Pasco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PSC 06:15 → SLC 08:50DL 1645	1h 25m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:15 → DEN 11:47DL 1553	4h 32m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	PSC 07:05 → MSP 12:01DL 2622	2h 26m Minneapolis	MSP 14:27 → DEN 15:30DL 1025	7h 25m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	PSC 12:12 → SLC 15:00DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	3h 30m Salt Lake City	SLC 18:30 → DEN 20:01DL 1586	6h 49m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	PSC 05:25 → SEA 06:36DL 3972 · flown by SkyWest	1h 34m Seattle	SEA 08:10 → DEN 12:02DL 1358	5h 37m	94%	78%
Alaska Details →	PSC 07:05 → SEA 08:10AS 2418 · flown by Horizon	3h 34m Seattle	SEA 11:44 → DEN 15:38AS 535	7h 33m	100%	75%
American Details →	PSC 05:04 → PHX 07:44AA 5007 · flown by SkyWest	47m Phoenix	PHX 08:31 → DEN 11:32AA 2602	5h 28m	84%	71%
Alaska Details →	PSC 10:33 → SEA 11:38AS 2171 · flown by Horizon	2h 44m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → DEN 17:55AS 602	6h 22m	100%	69%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON