Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2622 at 07:05, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2622 Delta Flight history →	PSC 07:05	MSP 12:01	6%	3%	0.4%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Pasco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PSC 06:15 → SLC 08:50DL 1645	2h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	6h 25m	98%	90%
United Details →	PSC 05:12 → DEN 08:48UA 480	52m Denver	DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397	5h 28m	93%	85%
United Details →	PSC 12:08 → DEN 15:42UA 4721 · flown by SkyWest	3h 03m Denver	DEN 18:45 → MSP 21:50UA 2076	7h 42m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	PSC 12:12 → SLC 15:00DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	2h 21m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935	6h 42m	98%	84%
American Details →	PSC 05:04 → PHX 07:44AA 5007 · flown by SkyWest	1h 07m Phoenix	PHX 08:51 → MSP 14:08AA 408	7h 04m	95%	83%
Alaska Details →	PSC 06:15 → SEA 07:20AS 2165 · flown by Horizon	1h 15m Seattle	SEA 08:35 → MSP 13:57AS 555	5h 42m	98%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON