tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 3370 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → PSP 07:16 PDX 09:48 8% 4% 0.8% 94%
OO 3432 SkyWest PSP 16:25 PDX 19:11 10% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest 2h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 6h 04m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → PSP 05:08 → DEN 08:25UA 1010 3h 02m Denver DEN 11:27 → PDX 13:09UA 644 8h 01m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → PSP 09:04 → DEN 12:26UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest 3h 34m Denver DEN 16:00 → PDX 17:46UA 1337 8h 42m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → PSP 12:23 → SLC 15:11DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 2h 14m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → PDX 18:18DL 1238 5h 55m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → PSP 06:45 → SFO 08:28UA 6052 · flown by SkyWest 1h 40m San Francisco SFO 10:08 → PDX 12:04UA 2624 5h 19m 95% 76%
AlaskaDetails → PSP 07:15 → SFO 08:48AS 3497 · flown by SkyWest 3h 20m San Francisco SFO 12:08 → PDX 13:50AS 235 6h 35m 99% 64%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:37 → SFO 15:35UA 1430 1h 05m San Francisco SFO 16:40 → PDX 18:36UA 1812 4h 59m 77% 61%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON