Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 1188 United Flight history →	RDM 05:00	DEN 08:28	7%	3%	0.7%	88%
UA 2350 United Flight history →	RDM 13:14	DEN 16:42	17%	5%	0.7%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Redmond). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RDM 05:05 → SLC 07:48DL 4004 · flown by SkyWest	2h 27m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:15 → DEN 11:47DL 1553	5h 42m	98%	88%
United Details →	RDM 05:55 → SFO 07:33UA 702	1h 24m San Francisco	SFO 08:57 → DEN 12:53UA 1469	5h 58m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	RDM 12:15 → SLC 15:04DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest	3h 26m Salt Lake City	SLC 18:30 → DEN 20:01DL 1586	6h 46m	99%	80%
Alaska Details →	RDM 05:25 → PDX 06:15AS 2043 · flown by Horizon	46m Portland	PDX 07:01 → DEN 10:31AS 684	4h 06m	88%	77%
Alaska Details →	RDM 07:15 → SEA 08:28AS 2027 · flown by Horizon	3h 16m Seattle	SEA 11:44 → DEN 15:38AS 535	7h 23m	98%	72%
Alaska Details →	RDM 09:44 → SEA 10:57AS 2076 · flown by Horizon	3h 25m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → DEN 17:55AS 602	7h 11m	100%	67%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	RDM 13:49 → SFO 15:32UA 2262	54m San Francisco	SFO 16:26 → DEN 20:08UA 1835	5h 19m	71%	53%
Alaska Details →	RDM 09:44 → SEA 10:57AS 2076 · flown by Horizon	47m Seattle	SEA 11:44 → DEN 15:38AS 535	4h 54m	42%	31%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON