tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 2224 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record RDM 07:28 SAN 09:50 18% 0% 3.8% 82%
AS 2415 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record RDM 13:05 SAN 15:25 23% 6% 1.4% 77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RDM 05:05 → SLC 07:48DL 4004 · flown by SkyWest 3h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 7h 03m 99% 81%
AmericanDetails → RDM 05:30 → PHX 07:57AA 3773 · flown by Envoy 2h 52m Phoenix PHX 10:49 → SAN 12:25AA 2122 6h 55m 100% 79%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 05:25 → PDX 06:15AS 2043 · flown by Horizon 2h 57m Portland PDX 09:12 → SAN 11:40AS 721 6h 15m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → RDM 12:15 → SLC 15:04DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 2h 06m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → SAN 18:06DL 1252 5h 51m 98% 76%
UnitedDetails → RDM 05:00 → DEN 08:28UA 1188 2h 47m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 7h 41m 98% 75%
DeltaDetails → RDM 06:13 → SEA 07:40DL 4036 · flown by SkyWest 2h 05m Seattle SEA 09:45 → SAN 12:39DL 2533 6h 26m 97% 74%
UnitedDetails → RDM 05:55 → SFO 07:33UA 702 2h 32m San Francisco SFO 10:05 → SAN 11:51UA 2177 5h 56m 99% 69%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 09:44 → SEA 10:57AS 2076 · flown by Horizon 3h 20m Seattle SEA 14:17 → SAN 16:57AS 765 7h 13m 100% 68%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON