Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 1145 at 08:10, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1145 JetBlue Flight history →	RIC 08:10	FLL 10:34	14%	5%	1.0%	87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RIC 05:45 → ATL 07:18DL 1460	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 38m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	RIC 06:55 → ATL 08:39DL 1402	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	6h 25m	98%	83%
American Details →	RIC 06:30 → CLT 07:54AA 1063	2h 56m Charlotte	CLT 10:50 → FLL 12:57AA 2585	6h 27m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	RIC 08:00 → ATL 09:42DL 1415	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	6h 27m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	RIC 10:19 → ATL 11:58DL 1462	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413	5h 22m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	RIC 15:09 → ATL 16:56DL 3152	3h 02m Atlanta	ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489	6h 47m	98%	78%
American Details →	RIC 06:26 → PHL 07:40AA 5973 · flown by Piedmont	3h 52m Philadelphia	PHL 11:32 → FLL 14:22AA 1465	7h 56m	100%	78%
American Details →	RIC 16:29 → CLT 17:47AA 5505 · flown by PSA	2h 21m Charlotte	CLT 20:08 → FLL 22:15AA 2945	5h 46m	100%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON