Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: B6 1552 at 10:33 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 25%.

Nonstops that day


B6 1552 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 10:33	HPN 13:30	10%	6%	2.3%	90%
B6 1252 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 17:01	HPN 20:17	25%	14%	1.8%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 09:39 → HPN 12:20DL 2973	6h 45m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 12:14 → HPN 14:49DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	8h 04m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	6h 44m	94%	83%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:50 → HPN 18:25DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	7h 37m	99%	81%
American Details →	RSW 08:48 → CLT 10:52AA 2241	3h 57m Charlotte	CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA	8h 08m	96%	76%
American Details →	RSW 11:46 → DCA 14:27AA 2916	2h 33m Washington	DCA 17:00 → HPN 18:28AA 5236 · flown by PSA	6h 42m	96%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON