Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 44%, against 16% on a calm day. Safest: WN 3707 at 17:16, 44%.

Nonstops that day


WN 3707 Southwest	RSW 17:16	PIT 20:01	44%	16%	1.3%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	6h 07m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	1h 10m Atlanta	ATL 08:29 → PIT 10:18DL 1363	4h 43m	97%	91%
United Details →	RSW 08:44 → ORD 11:08UA 2347	2h 00m Chicago	ORD 13:08 → PIT 15:50UA 3432 · flown by Republic	7h 06m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 12:59 → PIT 14:48DL 1353	6h 45m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 14:55 → PIT 16:44DL 1568	5h 56m	98%	88%
American Details →	RSW 06:03 → ORD 08:29AA 2613	1h 13m Chicago	ORD 09:42 → PIT 12:23AA 4467 · flown by Republic	6h 20m	94%	87%
American Details →	RSW 06:01 → DFW 08:05AA 1281	2h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:49 → PIT 14:50AA 2664	8h 49m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 16:57 → PIT 18:46DL 3122	5h 30m	97%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON