tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–29% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 8887 Delta SAN 12:02 MKE 17:52 22% 7% 1.1% no record
WN 3271 Southwest SAN 13:36 MKE 19:33 29% 8% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:20 → MSP 12:04DL 2134 1h 50m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 6h 49m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206 9h 25m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAN 10:36 → ATL 18:11DL 725 1h 37m Atlanta ATL 19:48 → MKE 20:54DL 2388 8h 18m 95% 82%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → DTW 13:48DL 754 2h 02m Detroit DTW 15:50 → MKE 16:02DL 1343 7h 47m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:50 → CLT 14:49AA 1651 3h 31m Charlotte CLT 18:20 → MKE 19:31AA 1072 10h 41m 98% 76%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:00 → IAH 13:12UA 2760 1h 08m Houston IAH 14:20 → MKE 17:06UA 6164 · flown by Mesa 7h 06m 93% 75%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 08:37 → LAS 10:02WN 1848 3h 54m Las Vegas LAS 13:56 → MKE 19:30WN 4795 8h 53m 100% 74%
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:15 → SLC 16:18DL 1296 1h 27m Salt Lake City SLC 17:45 → MKE 21:43DL 2619 6h 28m 91% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SAN 11:37 → DTW 19:10DL 492 50m Detroit DTW 20:00 → MKE 20:20DL 3724 · flown by SkyWest 6h 43m 65% 53%
UnitedDetails → SAN 10:35 → ORD 16:52UA 1710 53m Chicago ORD 17:45 → MKE 18:48UA 5555 · flown by SkyWest 6h 13m 60% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON