tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 2086 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SAN 10:05 RDM 12:25 34% 7% 2.9% 66%
AS 2223 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SAN 19:48 RDM 22:09 63% 24% 1.9% 37%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → SLC 09:21DL 1117 1h 24m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → RDM 11:35DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 5h 20m 96% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAN 11:06 → SEA 14:15DL 2508 3h 10m Seattle SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest 7h 37m 98% 82%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 16:52 → SEA 19:41AS 1373 3h 12m Seattle SEA 22:53 → RDM 23:59AS 2094 · flown by Horizon 7h 07m 93% 80%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 14:03 → PDX 16:36AS 1402 1h 44m Portland PDX 18:20 → RDM 19:09AS 2172 · flown by Horizon 5h 06m 96% 78%
UnitedDetails → SAN 06:20 → SFO 08:04UA 2830 2h 24m San Francisco SFO 10:28 → RDM 12:12UA 2153 5h 52m 98% 77%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 11:04 → SFO 12:51AS 3347 · flown by SkyWest 3h 51m San Francisco SFO 16:42 → RDM 18:25AS 3361 · flown by SkyWest 7h 21m 99% 75%
UnitedDetails → SAN 11:01 → SFO 12:47UA 2309 3h 42m San Francisco SFO 16:29 → RDM 18:10UA 2418 7h 09m 100% 74%
DeltaDetails → SAN 07:03 → SEA 10:05DL 2530 1h 17m Seattle SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest 5h 42m 88% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:36 → SEA 16:32DL 2533 53m Seattle SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest 5h 07m 72% 61%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576 47m Portland PDX 14:30 → RDM 15:20AS 2173 · flown by Horizon 4h 16m 60% 56%
UnitedDetails → SAN 13:39 → SFO 15:19UA 1763 1h 10m San Francisco SFO 16:29 → RDM 18:10UA 2418 4h 31m 73% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON