Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 37% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 5647 Delta flown by Republic Flight history →	SAV 15:26	BOS 18:08	37%	17%	0.8%	65%
B6 150 JetBlue Flight history →	SAV 15:43	BOS 18:24	37%	24%	0.9%	77%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → BOS 11:06DL 2432	5h 27m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	2h 12m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855	6h 02m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	SAV 08:10 → ATL 09:18DL 686	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → BOS 13:47DL 862	5h 37m	97%	84%
American Details →	SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA	1h 56m Charlotte	CLT 10:21 → BOS 12:46AA 2263	5h 46m	95%	82%
United Details →	SAV 07:00 → IAH 08:31UA 6220 · flown by Mesa	1h 19m Houston	IAH 09:50 → BOS 14:48UA 2393	7h 48m	97%	79%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	1h 13m Atlanta	ATL 12:22 → BOS 15:00DL 1293	4h 57m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 19:57 → BOS 22:35DL 457	6h 52m	98%	78%
American Details →	SAV 07:11 → DCA 09:10AA 5146 · flown by PSA	1h 31m Washington	DCA 10:41 → BOS 12:25AA 1015	5h 14m	94%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	SAV 14:25 → JFK 16:39B6 342	46m New York	JFK 17:25 → BOS 18:59B6 818	4h 34m	69%	39%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON