tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 10:03, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 68% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2660 United Flight history → SAV 16:15 DEN 18:17 23% 6% 0.6% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 26m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:10 → ATL 09:18DL 686 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957 7h 50m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → SAV 07:00 → IAH 08:31UA 6220 · flown by Mesa 2h 01m Houston IAH 10:32 → DEN 11:59UA 2787 6h 59m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAV 09:50 → IAD 11:37UA 6366 · flown by Mesa 2h 58m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 8h 39m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530 6h 55m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA 2h 26m Charlotte CLT 10:51 → DEN 12:26AA 1662 7h 26m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:39 → ATL 13:54DL 3054 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519 7h 17m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → SAV 06:15 → EWR 08:27UA 2828 3h 28m Newark EWR 11:55 → DEN 14:13UA 1999 9h 58m 98% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SAV 15:24 → EWR 17:37UA 546 1h 12m Newark EWR 18:49 → DEN 21:18UA 407 7h 54m 68% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON