Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 1119 Delta Flight history →	SAV 11:24	DTW 13:37	13%	3%	0.8%	90%
OO 3711 SkyWest	SAV 18:02	DTW 20:18	21%	8%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 36m Atlanta	ATL 08:21 → DTW 10:21DL 643	4h 42m	96%	89%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 13m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031	5h 39m	99%	86%
United Details →	SAV 07:00 → IAH 08:31UA 6220 · flown by Mesa	1h 14m Houston	IAH 09:45 → DTW 13:42UA 4064 · flown by Mesa	6h 42m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:39 → ATL 13:54DL 3054	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067	6h 35m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:50 → JFK 10:02DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	2h 54m New York	JFK 12:56 → DTW 14:44DL 1654	6h 54m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067	2h 17m Atlanta	ATL 19:11 → DTW 21:11DL 1262	5h 28m	96%	80%
American Details →	SAV 12:10 → CLT 13:25AA 5534 · flown by PSA	2h 17m Charlotte	CLT 15:42 → DTW 17:34AA 1134	5h 24m	100%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON