Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 17:16, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2574 Delta Flight history →	SAV 17:16	MSP 19:15	16%	5%	0.6%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	5h 39m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	SAV 08:10 → ATL 09:18DL 686	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 40m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	5h 47m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	7h 03m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:39 → ATL 13:54DL 3054	2h 44m Atlanta	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	6h 39m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → MSP 21:38DL 1280	6h 55m	98%	83%
American Details →	SAV 07:45 → PHL 09:50AA 5570 · flown by PSA	3h 22m Philadelphia	PHL 13:12 → MSP 15:29AA 3294	8h 44m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:50 → JFK 10:02DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	1h 33m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	7h 00m	95%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON