tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 5720 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → SFO 16:41 BOI 19:31 18% 5% 0.5% 74%
UA 2364 United SFO 12:57 BOI 15:46 25% 7% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SFO 05:00 → DEN 08:35UA 1479 3h 01m Denver DEN 11:36 → BOI 13:35UA 2255 7h 35m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SFO 05:50 → SLC 08:40DL 1331 2h 20m Salt Lake City SLC 11:00 → BOI 12:15DL 2095 5h 25m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → SFO 05:50 → PHX 08:01AA 6404 · flown by SkyWest 2h 06m Phoenix PHX 10:07 → BOI 13:21AA 4080 · flown by Envoy 6h 31m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SFO 07:00 → LAX 08:30DL 1598 3h 14m Los Angeles LAX 11:44 → BOI 14:46DL 3773 · flown by SkyWest 6h 46m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → SFO 05:55 → SEA 08:05DL 2721 55m Seattle SEA 09:00 → BOI 11:38DL 3678 · flown by SkyWest 4h 43m 93% 84%
DeltaDetails → SFO 09:55 → SLC 12:44DL 920 3h 53m Salt Lake City SLC 16:37 → BOI 17:51DL 2920 6h 56m 99% 83%
AlaskaDetails → SFO 07:20 → PDX 09:02AS 1410 2h 04m Portland PDX 11:06 → BOI 13:22AS 797 5h 02m 96% 83%
AlaskaDetails → SFO 07:07 → SNA 08:48AS 3440 · flown by SkyWest 3h 24m Santa Ana SNA 12:12 → BOI 15:22AS 523 7h 15m 100% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SFO 15:02 → PDX 16:47AS 1302 49m Portland PDX 17:36 → BOI 20:03AS 2104 · flown by Horizon 4h 01m 60% 48%
AlaskaDetails → SFO 12:08 → PDX 13:50AS 235 46m Portland PDX 14:36 → BOI 16:52AS 342 3h 44m 53% 45%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON