Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 4901 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SHV 06:57	CLT 10:21	15%	4%	0.9%	79%
OH 5303 PSA	SHV 12:41	CLT 16:03	21%	8%	0.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Shreveport). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SHV 06:00 → ATL 09:00DL 3504 · flown by SkyWest	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157	6h 31m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	SHV 10:28 → ATL 13:21DL 5302 · flown by Endeavor	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 17:00 → CLT 18:19DL 3158	6h 51m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	SHV 12:59 → ATL 15:55DL 3507 · flown by SkyWest	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → CLT 20:11DL 2132	6h 12m	99%	80%
American Details →	SHV 06:02 → DFW 07:18AA 6419 · flown by SkyWest	1h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:39 → CLT 12:26AA 2168	5h 24m	90%	78%
American Details →	SHV 09:58 → DFW 11:09AA 4009 · flown by Envoy	3h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:19 → CLT 18:02AA 3227	7h 04m	100%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON