Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 276 at 08:26, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 276 JetBlue Flight history →	SJU 08:26	BDL 12:54	16%	6%	0.8%	62%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJU 07:02 → ATL 10:59DL 1763	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739	9h 14m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SJU 12:57 → ATL 16:50DL 1930	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:55 → BDL 22:23DL 2765	9h 26m	100%	83%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 04:57 → MCO 08:12B6 234	2h 23m Orlando	MCO 10:35 → BDL 13:37B6 438	8h 40m	97%	79%
Frontier Details →	SJU 06:56 → MCO 10:20F9 2981	1h 11m Orlando	MCO 11:31 → BDL 14:43F9 1684	7h 47m	92%	69%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 11:11 → MCO 14:25B6 1334	2h 16m Orlando	MCO 16:41 → BDL 19:41B6 138	8h 30m	93%	55%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 14:28 → FLL 17:17B6 1454	2h 54m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 20:11 → BDL 23:23B6 460	8h 55m	94%	51%
American Details →	SJU 16:39 → MIA 19:36AA 967	1h 08m Miami	MIA 20:44 → BDL 23:55AA 1272	7h 16m	76%	46%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	SJU 16:25 → FLL 19:13B6 154	58m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 20:11 → BDL 23:23B6 460	6h 58m	57%	31%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON