Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 2602 at 17:44, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 2602 JetBlue Flight history →	SJU 17:44	HPN 21:41	30%	11%	0.8%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJU 12:57 → ATL 16:50DL 1930	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	9h 28m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	SJU 07:02 → ATL 10:59DL 1763	1h 15m Atlanta	ATL 12:14 → HPN 14:49DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 47m	97%	85%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 04:57 → MCO 08:12B6 234	3h 30m Orlando	MCO 11:42 → HPN 14:31B6 194	9h 34m	99%	70%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 14:28 → FLL 17:17B6 1454	1h 44m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 19:01 → HPN 22:15B6 914	7h 47m	86%	59%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 14:45 → MCO 17:58B6 934	2h 20m Orlando	MCO 20:18 → HPN 23:21B6 1694	8h 36m	94%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON