tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 124 SkyWest SLC 09:41 ABQ 11:33 4% 3% 0.5% no record
DL 3726 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 17:25 ABQ 19:12 9% 3% 0.5% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 1h 29m Denver DEN 08:23 → ABQ 09:59UA 1733 4h 44m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 2h 33m Denver DEN 11:15 → ABQ 12:46UA 476 5h 46m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 1h 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:43 → ABQ 11:33AA 3586 · flown by Envoy 6h 33m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 14m Denver DEN 13:41 → ABQ 15:10UA 1594 6h 40m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 2h 33m Los Angeles LAX 15:00 → ABQ 18:07DL 4091 · flown by SkyWest 6h 37m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest 1h 00m Phoenix PHX 08:57 → ABQ 11:22AA 1352 4h 09m 93% 83%
AmericanDetails → SLC 07:01 → DFW 10:50AA 644 2h 13m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:03 → ABQ 13:53AA 3777 · flown by Envoy 6h 52m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 1h 07m Houston IAH 12:04 → ABQ 13:27UA 6345 · flown by Mesa 6h 42m 95% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 09:49 → SFO 11:13UA 5970 · flown by SkyWest 52m San Francisco SFO 12:05 → ABQ 15:40UA 1597 5h 51m 72% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON