tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2855 at 17:25, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2855 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CLE 22:58 15% 6% 0.5% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 7h 21m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:04 → BOS 06:40DL 696 1h 50m Boston BOS 08:30 → CLE 10:35DL 5674 · flown by Republic 8h 31m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → CLE 18:53UA 2476 8h 23m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:42DL 1350 8h 32m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 38m Houston IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934 9h 45m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 18:53 → CLE 20:45DL 2150 8h 50m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 3h 06m Atlanta ATL 19:55 → CLE 21:45DL 1339 8h 40m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 2h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:52 → CLE 14:40AA 2336 7h 40m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON