Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2070 Delta Flight history →	SLC 10:55	CLT 16:52	14%	3%	0.6%	88%
AA 1895 American	SLC 13:29	CLT 19:36	21%	7%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 20:40 → CLT 21:57DL 3139	8h 52m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	3h 46m Minneapolis	MSP 15:15 → CLT 18:49DL 2821	8h 49m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289	2h 41m Detroit	DTW 14:05 → CLT 15:55DL 1429	7h 55m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 00:04 → BOS 06:40DL 696	3h 25m Boston	BOS 10:05 → CLT 12:35DL 5630 · flown by Republic	10h 31m	100%	85%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 57m Denver	DEN 09:51 → CLT 15:18UA 2231	8h 03m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031	7h 17m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 06m Atlanta	ATL 17:00 → CLT 18:19DL 3158	8h 09m	100%	83%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	1h 13m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:59 → CLT 13:41AA 2493	6h 41m	98%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SLC 09:53 → IAD 16:27UA 1322	53m Dulles	IAD 17:20 → CLT 19:02UA 6209 · flown by Mesa	7h 09m	71%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON