Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2273 Delta Flight history →	SLC 09:40	CVG 15:03	9%	2%	0.4%	92%
DL 2291 Delta Flight history →	SLC 17:25	CVG 22:46	13%	3%	0.5%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 46m Denver	DEN 09:40 → CVG 14:27UA 1978	7h 12m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	7h 41m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 19:32 → CVG 21:01DL 2248	9h 06m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 00:04 → BOS 06:40DL 696	2h 05m Boston	BOS 08:45 → CVG 11:12DL 5601 · flown by Republic	9h 08m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	1h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 15:50 → CVG 18:37DL 703	5h 27m	97%	85%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	2h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:49 → CVG 14:15AA 3305	7h 15m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874	2h 27m Seattle	SEA 11:29 → CVG 18:47DL 558	8h 57m	99%	83%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	1h 51m Houston	IAH 12:48 → CVG 16:32UA 2850	7h 47m	98%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON