Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: United via Denver, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 80% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 745 Delta Flight history → SLC 10:45 FLL 17:28 16% 3% 0.5% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Denver DEN 09:46 → FLL 15:46UA 1214 8h 31m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 1h 14m Houston IAH 12:11 → FLL 16:01UA 1982 7h 16m 96% 80%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 26m Denver DEN 13:53 → FLL 19:55UA 1384 9h 25m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874 3h 58m Seattle SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338 12h 02m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 1h 06m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 7h 34m 96% 79%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 1h 13m Denver DEN 16:04 → FLL 22:07UA 1374 7h 02m 95% 79%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 8h 51m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:59 → JFK 16:47DL 1792 3h 11m New York JFK 19:58 → FLL 23:28DL 1414 11h 29m 99% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON