Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 4052 at 13:18, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4052 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:18	LIT 17:25	4%	3%	0.6%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Little Rock on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → LIT 15:12DL 3027	7h 12m	98%	89%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	2h 52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:38 → LIT 12:58AA 3898 · flown by Envoy	6h 58m	100%	88%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	2h 53m Denver	DEN 13:20 → LIT 16:42UA 5760 · flown by SkyWest	7h 12m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 17:20 → LIT 17:55DL 3025	8h 45m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 17:55 → LIT 18:31DL 2061	7h 36m	99%	85%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 41m Denver	DEN 09:35 → LIT 12:54UA 5369 · flown by SkyWest	6h 39m	99%	85%
American Details →	SLC 08:00 → DFW 11:47AA 2195	3h 52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:39 → LIT 16:59AA 4309 · flown by Envoy	7h 59m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	1h 37m Atlanta	ATL 20:59 → LIT 21:34DL 2701	6h 59m	94%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON